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Fri, May. 9th, 2008, 11:49 am
stuff and things

I'm sure it has been discussed elsewhere in far more detail than the cursory thought I have put into it, but during my (short) run yesterday, I worked out that if you are going to be doing the "all-in or nothing" ring game strategy, I believe 20BB is the minimum buyin you would need to maintain in order to start having any profitability in the long term.
(to be fair, I worked it out in my head, and then tweaked it on scrap paper later when I had more bloodflow in my brain)

By my math, it would look like at that buyin, you should be able to sustain something around +2-2.5BB/100. With 10BB buyin, you would lose 1-1.5BB/100. (technically I suppose the actual buyin could/should be slightly less - but I was only testing in jumps of 10 - 15 is probably closer, having just tested 15, it would seem something between 15 and 20, lol - not enough time to do this properly right now)

I haven't worked out any of the variance swings that should be expected.

This is after a discussion with someone over writing a poker bot that exists solely to play a lot of hands an minimize losses, in the hopes of clearing bonuses and generally collecting points (as opposed to expert play in order to gain money, without any regard to points).

Since I'm sure there is a large potential for error in my work (for instance, I didn't look at rake collected), and as I said this has surely been well covered by people smarter than me, I won't go into the details of it.


When I was at the OTC in high school, they told us one way to look out for overtaining was that if you felt fatigued before going for a run, you might be headed towards overtraining and your body was trying to tell you this.

They suggested that you lie down on a carpeted floor or a couch (specifically not a bed) and if you don't fall asleep after 10 minutes, get up and go for your run.
But if you do fall asleep, then you likely needed it, and therefore just sleep until you wake up.

Except that every single time I have ever done this in my life, I just go right to sleep and sleep for at least 8 hours. Always.

Seeing [info]evwhore's post about the NASA study where you have to lie in bed for 90 days makes me think I should do that, as I would just sleep the whole time. No problem at all.

On a side note, a better way to track if you are overtraining or not is track your resting heart rate when you wake up every morning (unfortunately this only works if you do not use an alarm, as that startles you - and I am physically incapable of waking up without an alarm). Track that over time, and if it starts to increase, then you are overtraining.

Similarly, if you monitor your waking temperature, you can track your metabolism which (at least at that time in the morning) is largely controlled by your thyroid via T3 levels, so if you wanted to hack your system to try and burn more fat (technically muscle too) by taking outside sources of that, you would watch your temperature in the mornings, and it if it no longer elevated over the baseline, your T3 should be increased.
The key thing to note being that at the end of your usage of the T3, you need to pyramid back down to get your body back to making its own again, as otherwise you will have suppressed levels and then get a rebound effect and get your weight back in fat - yay fat!

(note that if you monitor waking temperature and it is not for some arbitrary fat loss and drugs thing, and you see it going up in the mornings over your baseline - then you are sick, as in you have a cold)

Fun with body stats! Err, "fun".